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05.06.2023
Oil prices climbed 3% on Tuesday, recovering from steep losses the previous session, after China's central bank lowered a short-term lending rate for the first time in 10 months. The rate cut, aimed at adding momentum to a hesitant post-pandemic recovery in the world's second-largest economy and biggest crude importer, is likely increase oil demand.
Brent crude futures climbed $2.18, or 3%, to $74.02 a barrel by 11:34 a.m. EDT (1534 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up $2.04, or 3%, at $69.16 a barrel. Prices on Monday fell by about 4%, in part because of concerns about the Chinese economy after disappointing economic data last week. "The market is showing a rebound from yesterday," Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures group, said. "It was overdone with doom and gloom on Monday." Equities, which often trade in tandem with oil, also rose on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, Brent's six-month backwardation, a market structure whereby shorter-dated futures trade above longer-dated ones, has fallen to its lowest since March at around $1.30, indicating faltering confidence that demand will exceed supply over the year. "For market participants to start building up long positions again, they likely need to see larger inventory declines," said UBS strategist Giovanni Staunovo, adding he expected this to happen within weeks. A rise in global supplies is weighing on the market, along with concerns about demand growth, ahead of a U.S. Fed monetary policy meeting concluding on Wednesday. Most market participants expect the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged, especially after data showed U.S. consumer prices barely rose in May.
The Fed's rate hikes have strengthened the dollar , making dollar-denominated commodities more expensive for holders of other currencies and weighing on oil prices, so a rate hike pause could be bullish. The European Central Bank is expected to hike interest rates on Thursday. Worries about demand have unraveled the temporary boost in oil prices from Saudi Arabia's pledge announced early this month to cut more production in July.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) kept its forecast for 2023 global oil demand growth steady for a fourth month on Tuesday, slightly increasing expectations of Chinese demand growth. Another monthly report by the International Energy Agency (IEA) due on Wednesday will provide further trading cues. Investors await industry data on U.S. oil inventories on Tuesday, followed by government data on Wednesday. Five analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories fell by about 1.3 million barrels in the week to June 9.
07.05.2023
Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, has confirmed the listing of Floki Inu (FLOKI) and PEPE in the innovation zone on its platform. According to a statement from the company, a listing fee of 0 BNB applies to trading pairs involving the FLOKI and PEPE duo.
In line with the statement released, Binance also confirmed that the exchange will open trading for spot pairs FLOKI/USDT, FLOKI/TUSD, PEPE/USDT, PEPE/TUSD in the second half of today. This way, users are encouraged to start funding their account with either or both memcoins in advance of trading. FLOKI and PEPE deposits will be available starting today, but users will not be able to withdraw until May 6. Changpeng "CZ" Zhao, chief executive (CEO) of Binance, previously hinted that the exchange was skeptical about listing PEPE, citing that memcoin lacks transparency and has high risk. During one of its "Ask Me Anything" sessions, CZ showed its approval of Shiba Inu over the PEPE meme coin.
"We don't like coins that have a very small supply in circulation, but they have a large total supply," he said on Twitter Spaces earlier this month, adding that "when there is a small supply in circulation, some coins become known and people want to buy them because the price is very high. But then when more supply comes into circulation, the price can fall. Well, it probably will, or at least has a higher downside risk. We try to avoid that."
At the same time, he noted that he has no direct involvement with the listing. "We actually have a strict policy: even if we talk to the project team, we prohibit them from divulging anything about the listing, etc.," Zhao added.
With CZ's previous position, it came as a surprise when the exchange confirmed the listing. Approximately 48 hours after listing, FLOKI and PEPE will be added as new leveraged assets on Isolated Margins along with their new margin pairs FLOKI/USDT and PEPE/USDT. The announcement seems to have caused some excitement in the market, as PEPE is up more than 40% and FLOKI is up more than 60%.
FLOKI has already appeared on other leading cryptocurrency exchanges, but a listing on Binance has been expected for a long time. In March, KoinBX, a leading cryptocurrency exchange, announced plans to list FLOKI for USDT and INR trading pairs. There are generally rave reviews about FLOKI and many other memcoins. The platform behind the Floki memcoin has proven useful over time with several solutions, such as the cryptocurrency debit card, the non-fungible token (NFT) game, and various NFT collections.
06.01.2023
According to a new study, investors left UK equity funds at a record pace last year, with sales outpacing sales in other major markets.
The Calastone fund chain reported on Thursday that in 2022 the total outflow of funds from British equity funds amounted to 8.38 billion pounds ($ 9.95 billion), which is the worst figure in eight years of data registration. Equity funds are grouped investments that predominantly focus on the stocks of companies.
Outflows from other European equity funds amounted to £2.65 billion, from North American funds £1.17 billion and £1 billion from Asia Pacific funds.
According to the company, three-quarters of the losses of equity funds occurred in the third quarter, which was timed to coincide with a particularly turbulent period in British politics, when former Prime Minister Liz Truss came up with a controversial "mini-budget". But overall inflows into investment funds have been the worst in at least eight years amid rising inflation, uncertainty over the war in Ukraine, and a sharp shift by central banks from easing monetary policy to tightening.
Meanwhile, passive equity funds that track the stock market or market sector recorded net outflows for the first time in a year.
The bright spots were global equity funds in the areas of environment, social and corporate governance, which added £6.35 billion, and emerging markets funds, which added £647 million.
Edward Glyn, calastone's head of global markets, said the interest rate hike had "turned asset markets upside down" and forced investors to flee to cash and lower-risk funds.
"Sentiment has improved markedly in recent weeks, but there is tremendous uncertainty about the future course of interest rates and economic growth around the world, and we can still see the roar of bears again before the bull market cycle starts anew," he said.
However, this positive has not reached UK-focused funds, he said, due to forecasts that the country would suffer the worst recession among major economies.
A separate study released this week by State Street Global Advisors found that European exchange-traded funds showed resilience in 2022, with net inflows of $88 billion driven by shares mainly in "global developed" and U.S. "big equity" funds. Investors favored higher-quality assets and shares in the energy sector, the report said.
At the same time, the report notes that investors avoided broad European stocks amid the war in Ukraine, high inflation and stronger tightening of monetary policy than initially expected.
29.11.2022
Gold prices rose Tuesday as a weaker dollar outweighed pressure from hawkish remarks from U.S. Federal Reserve officials about raising interest rates.
Spot gold rose 0.8% to $1,754.85 an ounce and U.S. gold futures rose 0.8% to $1,769.70.
On Monday, gold prices had their worst day in a month, losing nearly 1 percent, following hawkish comments from Fed officials James Bullard and John Williams.
The dollar index fell 0.4 percent against its peers on Tuesday, making gold less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Although a slightly weaker dollar is supporting gold at the moment, we still expect further Fed rate hikes to put pressure on gold prices in coming weeks, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at a Brookings Institution event Wednesday is now of interest to traders seeking more clarity on the central bank's policy stance.
"The market will be watching closely for any sign of an end to interest rate hikes. If Powell points out that we are close to that, gold will win, on the other hand, if he points to further hikes," Staunovo added.
The ADP national employment report and the U.S. Labor Department nonfarm payrolls data due out this week also remain on the radar.
Meanwhile, Chinese police took to the streets of Beijing and Shanghai to prevent more protests against Covid-19 restrictions.
The protests in China, the world's biggest gold consumer, and the resulting heightened security presence will affect spending and industrial activity over the next month, putting pressure on all metals, said Michael Langford, director of corporate consulting firm AirGuide.
07.11.2022
Oil prices held steady near $100 a barrel on Monday as support from a weaker dollar and a recovery in Chinese crude oil imports countered renewed demand concerns stemming from China's tough approach to containing Covid.
Brent oil futures fell 7 cents, or 0.05%, to $98.52 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate crude was $92.46 a barrel, down 15 cents, or 0.2%.
Both contracts fell more than $1 a barrel early in the session as Chinese health officials reaffirmed their commitment to a strict approach to containing Covid over the weekend, dashing hopes for a recovery in oil demand from the world's largest oil importer.
Brent and WTI rose last week, gaining 2.9% and 5.4% respectively on speculation that the Covid-19 lockdowns could end despite no announced changes.
But prices cut losses in early European trade after stronger risk sentiment, news of a rebound in Chinese crude oil imports and a weaker US dollar against other currencies, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.
The US dollar slipped against the euro on Monday, while the pound sterling was supported by sentiment risk and a rally in European stock markets.
While China's imports and exports fell unexpectedly in October, crude oil imports rose to their highest level since May.
Oil prices are supported by supply cut expectations as the European Union embargo on Russian oil exports by sea comes into effect on December 5, despite refineries around the world ramping up production.
US refineries will be operating their refineries at breakneck speeds near or above 90% capacity this quarter. China's largest private refinery Zhejiang Petroleum and Chemical Co (ZPC) ramps up diesel production.
Kuwait Integrated Petroleum Industries Co (KIPIC) said on Sunday that the first phase of the Al Zur refinery has entered commercial operation, the state news agency reported.
17.10.2022
Mastercard aims to bring cryptocurrency to the masses, making it easier for banks to participate.
The payment giant plans to announce on Monday a program that will help financial institutions offer cryptocurrency trading, CNBC reported. Mastercard will act as a "bridge" between Paxos, a crypto trading platform already used PayPal to offer a similar service, and banks, according to the company. Mastercard will be concerned with regulatory compliance and security , the two main reasons why banks avoid the asset class.
Some consumers are also skeptical. Cryptocurrencies like bitcoin are notoriously volatile, and the best digital assets in the world have lost more than half of their value this year. Since January, the industry has been hit by billions of hacks combined with numerous high-profile bankruptcies.
Mastercard's chief digital officer said surveys still show demand for the asset, but roughly 60% of respondents said they would prefer to test water through their existing banks.
"There are a lot of consumers who are really interested in this and intrigued by cryptocurrencies, but they would feel much more confident if these services were offered by their financial institutions," Mastercard chief digital officer Jorn Lambert said in an interview. "Some people are still a little scared."
Major investment banks such as Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan have singled out crypto teams but have largely avoided offering it to consumers. Just last week, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon called cryptocurrencies "decentralized Ponzi" at an institute of international finance event. If banks adopt this Mastercard partnership model, it could mean more competition for Coinbase and other U.S. exchanges.
The payment company said its role is to keep banks on the right side of regulation by following cryptographic compliance rules, verifying transactions and providing anti-money laundering and identity monitoring services. Mastercard will pilot the product in the first quarter of next year and then "crank the handle" to expand into more geographic regions. Lambert declined to say which banks have signed up so far.
While the industry is going through a bear market or "crypto winter," Lambert said more activity in the future could lead to more transactions and fuel Mastercard's core business.
"It would be short-sighted to think that a small crypto winter portends its end – we don't see that," he said. "As regulation of cryptocurrency platforms is introduced, the degree of their security will increase, and in the coming years we will see how many current problems will be solved in the coming years."
Mastercard and Visa enter into partnerships in the field of cryptocurrency. Mastercard has already teamed up with Coinbase on NFTs and Bakkt to allow banks and merchants on its network to offer cryptocurrency-related services. Last week, Visa partnered with FTX to offer cryptocurrency debit cards in 40 countries and has more than 70 cryptocurrency partnerships. American Express said it was exploring the possibility of using its cards and stablecoin network, which are pegged to the price of a dollar or other fiat currency.
Cryptocurrencies, ironically, were designed to destroy banks and intermediaries such as Mastercard and Visa. Their underlying technology, blockchain, allows transactions to be conducted without intermediaries. However, Lambert said they didn't see a response from the industry to their involvement. According to him, cryptocurrencies are on the "verge of a real mainstream", and for this they still need to unite with existing players.
"It's hard to believe that the crypto industry will really become mainstream without embracing the financial industry as we know it," Lambert said.
07.10.2022
Gold prices were in a tight range on Friday as investors awaited a U.S. employment report that could affect the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's rate hike.
However, thanks to the depreciation of the dollar and the yield of US Treasury bonds, gold is still on track for the best week since March.
Spot gold remained at about the same level at $1,710.30 per ounce. This week, prices rose by about 3.3%.
U.S. gold futures were down 0.2% at $1,718.10.
"We have data on employment in the non-agricultural sector of the United States, and this will be a very important point, because recently market expectations have shifted towards easing the Fed's course towards tightening monetary policy," said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.
The jobs report is due Friday, and economists predict 250,000 jobs were created last month.
Fed officials are sticking to their hawkish stance in the fight against high inflation, and more favorable-than-expected employment data will give rise to another significant rate hike at the upcoming central bank meeting, analysts say.
Although gold is considered a hedge against inflation, rising rates in the U.S. reduce the attractiveness of non-income bullion and raise the dollar.
"The main obstacle is our expectation that the Fed will continue to raise rates longer than the market predicts, which will lead to an appreciation of the US dollar and to the fact that gold/other asset classes will remain afloat or fall in price," said Michael Langford, director of corporate consulting firm AirGuide.
"In the short term, we believe that gold prices will fall below $1,700 per ounce."
Silver fell 0.1% to $20.63 an ounce, the biggest weekly gain since July, up more than 9% to date.
Platinum rose 0.5% to $926.60 an ounce and reached its best weekly rate since February 2021. Palladium rose 0.7% to $2276.01.
22.09.2022
The Japanese yen jumped on Thursday after monetary authorities intervened in the foreign exchange market to strengthen the beaten currency for the first time since 1998, although analysts said Japan could face difficulties in holding the yen for a long time.
The dollar last fell 1.1% to 142.40 yen. After the intervention, it hit a low of 140.31 yen, having previously reached a new 24-year peak of 145.9 yen. The spread between the high and low of the day for the pair was the widest since June 2016.
The euro, the Australian dollar and the pound sterling also fell against the Japanese currency, but then recovered slightly.
"We have taken decisive action," Masato Kanda, Japan's deputy finance minister for international affairs, told reporters, answering in the affirmative when asked whether this meant intervention.
Confirmation of the intervention came just hours after the Bank of Japan decided to keep interest rates low to support the country's fragile economic recovery.
Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda told reporters that the central bank could refrain from raising rates or changing its dovish political leadership for several years.
By contrast, central banks around the world, most notably the U.S. Federal Reserve, are actively raising rates, and this policy divergence puts pressure on the yen.
However, according to analysts, Japan cannot continue to support the currency on a permanent basis.
"In the next three to six months, and maybe longer, as long as these monetary policy divergences persist and these differences persist, you will continue to see the yen weaken," said Brendan McKenna, international economist and currency strategist at Wells Fargo Securities.
"U.S. yields are up nearly six basis points or so today, while yields in Japan are down. Therefore, I think that the spread should continue to favor the US dollar, and this is what will lead to a weakening of the yen until the end of this year and possibly in early 2023," he added.
08.09.2022
Chinese electric vehicle maker Nio has joined others in the industry in saying that US restrictions on sales of Nvidia chips to China will not affect the automaker's business.
Last week, Nvidia announced that the US would require the chipmaker to obtain a license for future exports of certain products to China to reduce the risk of their use by the Chinese military.
"We believe this will not affect our business operations", — William Lee, founder, chairman and CEO of Nio, said through the company's translator during a call on Wednesday. This is according to the StreetAccount transcript.
"We estimate that our computing power is sufficient for the development of autonomous driving technology in the aspect of AI training," Li said. "And we're working very closely with our partner Nvidia."
The Nvidia Drive Orin chip has become a core part of autonomous driving technology for Nio and other electric vehicle companies in China. Nvidia's online blog describes how the new Nio ES7 SUV is equipped with four such chips, including one that allows the car to learn based on the driver's individual preferences.
The new US restrictions target Nvidia's A100 and H100 products, which are part of the company's much larger data center business. These products are GPUs that can be used for artificial intelligence.
Li said on Wednesday that there are many companies in China that make artificial intelligence training chips, and that Nio is evaluating cooperation opportunities with various companies. But he said that US restrictions would not affect Nio's long-term strategy.
Last week, automaker Geely said it would not be affected by the new restrictions, as self-driving startups WeRide and Pony.ai did.
Earlier this week, Chinese financial news website Caixin reported that He Xiaopeng, chairman of electric vehicle startup Xpeng, said the restrictions would cause problems for learning autonomous driving algorithms on cloud computing platforms.
But he said the company has purchased enough high-tech products to meet demand in the coming years. Caixin quoted He's post on his personal WeChat account, which is similar to a private post on Facebook's news feed.
25.08.2022
The U.S. dollar on Thursday retreated from a two-decade high against a basket of major currencies as investors awaited a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell the next day in search of new clues about further monetary policy.
The dollar index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, fell 0.15% to 108.47 but remained close to the highest since September 2002 at 109.29 reached in mid-July.
Investors had expected the Fed at its annual meeting in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to double its commitment to suppress inflation.
Money markets have dampened expectations that the U.S. central bank could move to a slower pace of rate hikes following a chorus of Fed hawkish comments in recent weeks, and now the chances of another super-large 75 basis point rate hike next month are 60.5% versus a 39.5% chance of a half-point rate hike.
Expectations of FOMC Chairman Powell's hawkish message to Jackson Hole are likely to keep upward pressure on the U.S. dollar," Commonwealth Bank of Australia analyst Christina Clifton wrote in a client note.
"However, there is a risk that the speech will be considered insufficiently hawkish, and we will see some rollback of the US dollar."
The dollar retreated 0.25% to 136.775 yen, but remained near this week's one-month high of 137.705.
The euro rose 0.14% to $0.99825 after falling to a 20-year low of $0.99005 on Tuesday.
The single currency has been hit by concerns about economic growth as the region faces an energy crisis and investors are in tension before Russia halts gas supplies via the main Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline for three days from Wednesday for unscheduled maintenance.
Sterling rose 0.17% to $1.18105 after falling on Tuesday to its lowest level since March 2020 of $1.1718.
The Australian dollar rose 0.19% to $0.6920, rising from a more than one-month low of $0.6856 at the start of the week.
The New Zealand kiwi lagged behind its antipode counterpart, rising 0.06% to $0.6194, thwarted by data on declining retail sales. On Monday, it hit a one-month low of $0.6157.
11.08.2022
See which companies made headlines before the call:
Six Flags (SIX) — Shares of the theme park operator fell 12.8 % in the premarket after its quarterly profit and revenue fell short of Wall Street's forecasts. The results of Six Flags, among other factors, were affected by a drop in attendance by 22%.
Canada Goose (GOOS) - the manufacturer of outerwear reported smaller-than-expected quarterly losses, and revenue exceeded analysts' forecasts. Canada Goose is the latest luxury retailer to see its high-end consumers maintain their spending levels. Shares added 2.4% in pre-market trading.
Warby Parker (WRBY). The glasses retailer reported smaller-than-expected quarterly losses, with sales beating estimates. The number of active customers increased by 8.7% compared to last year.
Utz Brands (UTZ) — Shares of the maker of salty snacks jumped 8.2% in the premarket after reporting quarterly profit and revenue that were better than expected, and also raises the sales forecast for the full year.
Cardinal Health (CAH) – Cardinal Health fell 1% in the premarket after reporting mixed quarters, with the pharmaceutical distributor's earnings beating Street's forecasts and revenue falling short of estimates. Cardinal Health also announced that CEO Mike Kaufmann will step down on Sept. 1, and CFO Jason Hollar will take his place. Expected quarterly revenue and announcing a December 8 launch date for an ad-supported version of its streaming service, Disney+. He also announced that he would raise the price of his ad-free service from $7.99 to $10.99 per month.
Sonos (SONO) earnings: Revenue was also well below Wall Street's forecasts as the company lowered its full-year forecast in the face of economic woes. The manufacturer of high-end speakers also announced the departure of CFO Brittany Bagley from September 1.
Bumble (BMBL) - Bumble shares fell 8.9% in pre-market trading after the dating service operator lowered its annual revenue forecast. Bumble faces stiff competition from rivals such as Match Group (MTCH), Tinder's parent company, and its dating app Badoo, popular in Western Europe, has been hit by the war in Ukraine.
Vacasa (VCSA) – Vacasa soared 24.7% in the premarket after a holiday rental provider raised its full-year forecast amid rising demand. Vacasa also reported an unexpected quarterly profit.
Vizio (VZIO) - Vizio added 2% in the premarket after the manufacturer of smart TVs and other consumer entertainment equipment reported an unexpected profit for the last quarter with average revenue. per user by 54 % more than a year earlier.
26.07.2022
Markets were subdued again Tuesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's latest meeting and the release of quarterly earnings reports from major tech companies later this week.
The Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting Wednesday, and investors expect another 75 basis point interest rate hike, while tech giants Apple, Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet will release their quarterly earnings reports this week.
U.S. stock futures were down slightly in morning trading, with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures down 0.38 percent and Nasdaq futures down 0.32 percent. S&P 500 futures traded 0.30 percent lower after a Walmart earnings warning sent stocks down 9.3 percent in over-the-counter trading.
Analysts said the low futures trading volume means investors should expect another quiet day for stocks.
"Yesterday was a dull day, and today probably will be too," said Michael Brown, head of market analysis at Caxton FX. "Take the opportunity to rest up before the fireworks begin on Wednesday."
Alphabet and Microsoft will be the first major tech giants to report their earnings, with second-quarter reports to be released after Tuesday's closing bell.
"We have Microsoft and Alphabet today after the bell, Meta tomorrow, and Apple and Amazon on Thursday," said Deutsche Bank managing director Jim Reed. "So there will be more than $7.5 trillion at stake in the next couple of days."
Global stock indexes were also mixed, with the MSCI World Index up 0.1 percent, but several key stock markets saw slight declines.
Europe's flagship Stoxx 600 index was up 0.04%, with the Paris CAC 40 and Frankfurt DAX 40 falling 0.15% and 0.55%, respectively. London's FTSE 100 index traded more strongly, rising 0.63%.
In Asia, the Shanghai Composite was up 0.83% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng was up 1.93%, but Tokyo's Nikkei 225 was down 0.24% at the close of trading.
Here's how the other major asset classes are behaving: